RT Journal Article
T1 Comparing Independence Referendums:  Why do Some States Accept Them While Others do not? (preprint)
A1 Sánchez Sánchez, Enrique
A1 Harguindéguy, Jean-Baptiste
A1 Sánchez Sánchez, Almudena
A1 Cole, Alistair
K1 Referendum
K1 Consultation
K1 Independence
K1 Secession
K1 Self-determination
AB This article aims to explain why some central governments accept to hold independence referendums while others refuse to do so. For this purpose, this investigation assesses a series of seven hypotheses on 131 international cases of secession consultations from 1944 to 2021 extracted from an updated version of the Contested sovereignty dataset elaborated by Mendez and Germann (2018). The results of the logistic regression model identify four relevant variables. In the first place, the competition/proximity model and the time variable explain the support brought by central governments for the organisation of self-determination referendums. Additionally, the study shows that the quality of democracy influences the decision to allow minorities to hold independence consultations. Finally, and with a lower level of significance, it is also argued that periods of previous violence incite host state authorities to agree to hold self-determination referendums.
PB Taylor and Francis
YR 2023
FD 2023-10-20
LK https://hdl.handle.net/10433/21742
UL https://hdl.handle.net/10433/21742
LA en
NO Geopolitics, vol 28, nº 5, p. 1868-1891
NO Artículo publicado en Geopolitics.
NO Área de Ciencia Política y de la Administración
DS RIO
RD May 9, 2026