RT Journal Article
T1 Evaluating Soil Threats Under Climate Change Scenarios in the Andalusia Region, Southern Spain
A1 Anaya-Romero, María
A1 Abd-Elmabod, Sameh Kotb
A1 Muñoz-Rojas, Miriam
A1 Castellano, Gianni
A1 Ceacero Ruiz, Carlos Juan
A1 Alvarez, Susana
A1 Méndez, Miguel
A1 De la Rosa, Diego
K1 Climate change
K1 DSS models
K1 Land vulnerability evaluation
AB European policies can be relevant to protect soils under climate change scenarios and therefore preserve the wide variety of functions and services provided by the soil. The European Thematic Strategy for Soil Protection will require member states to identify areas under risk from various soil threats and establish procedures to achieve sustainability. Five models Terraza, Cervatana, Sierra, Raizal, and Pantanal included in the Mediterranean Land Evaluation Information System decision support system packages were used to identify areas vulnerable to various soil threats under climate change scenarios in the Andalusia region. While Terraza and Cervatana forecast general land use capability for a broad series of possible agricultural uses, the Sierra model predicts forestry land suitability for the presence/absence of 22 typical Mediterranean forest species. Raizal and Pantanal models predict soil erosion vulnerability, contamination, and other processes. Interpretation of results in different scenarios allows quantifying the effects of climate change in terms of agricultural productivity, forestry land suitability, erosion, and contamination risks. The obtained results allow to identify detailed vulnerable areas and formulate site-specific management plans for soil protection. Climate change is expected to impact crop growth with a higher impact on summer crops (corn, sunflower, and cotton). The results show a potential opportunity for reforestation (Quercus spp.) in future climate scenarios, while other species such as Castanea sativa will not be suitable in the study area by 2070 and 2100. Soil contamination and erosion show only slight differences between the current and future scenario of climate change.
PB John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
YR 2015
FD 2015
LK https://hdl.handle.net/10433/19585
UL https://hdl.handle.net/10433/19585
LA en
NO Anaya-Romero, M., Abd-Elmabod, S. K., Muñoz-Rojas, M., Castellano, G., Ceacero, C. J., Alvarez, S., Méndez, M., and De la Rosa, D. (2015) Evaluating Soil Threats Under Climate Change Scenarios in the Andalusia Region, Southern Spain. Land Degrad. Develop., 26: 441–449. doi: 10.1002/ldr.2363.
NO Environmental Government of Andalusia (NET832930)
NO Departamento de Fisiología, Anatomía y Biología Celular, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, E-41013, Sevilla, Spain
DS RIO
RD May 8, 2026