Navarrete Wic, Ana

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Navarrete Wic
Universidad Pablo de Olavide
Economía Financiera y Contabilidad
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Economía Financiera y Contabilidad
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PhD programs
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  • Publication
    Are the sovereign CDS premia sound estimators of the stock market returns? Evidence from the Eurozone
    (Universidad Pablo de Olavide, 2018-06-30) Navarrete Wic, Ana; Di Pietro, Filippo; Martín Marín, José Luis
    In this paper, we explore the interconnection and existing relationships between the Sovereign Credit Default Swaps (henceforth, CDS) and the stock markets of the main European countries. Thus, the goal of this paper is to test if the CDS premia can predict the stock market returns of the most relevant economies within the Eurozone, so that, they serve as advanced indicators like mechanisms of price transmission. For this purpose, we apply the Granger Causality test to analyze ten main European stock markets from 2004 to 2016 by using daily data. Our hypothesis is proved to work for the largest economies with liquid CDS markets, whereas the transmission mechanism between CDS and stock prices is not so evident for the smallest ones.